Saturday, January 24, 2009

American Express sacks more Indian employees

Global credit card and payment services major American Express has asked some more of its employees in India to leave this month, as part
of its global restructuring announced late last year.

"Only 1-2 per cent of our present workforce in India is impacted," an Amex spokesperson said, without giving specific numbers.

According to industry sources, Amex has a workforce of over 6,000 people in India.

The company spokesperson separately said in an emailed statement, "The restructuring is part of the overall worldwide re-engineering efforts we announced in late 2008.

"As shared earlier, India is not the main focus of the restructuring. Many of the employees whose jobs were impacted were notified in 2008. In other cases, the notifications are taking place in early 2009."

In late October 2008, Amex announced that it would cut 7,000 jobs globally, representing about 10 per cent of its worldwide workforce, as part of a plan to save 1.8 billion dollars of costs in 2009.

This was followed by about a hundred job cuts in India.

Obama Signals Tough Restrictions on Banks in Rescue Package


President Barack Obama signaled that he would toughen restrictions on and oversight of banks as part of a fresh plan to aid the battered industry.

Obama blasted the banks yesterday over reports that they’ve spent money renovating offices after receiving billions of dollars from the government and vowed they would be held accountable for any aid they receive in the future.

The tough talk seemed designed to build support for a rescue plan that aides say Obama will roll out soon by reassuring lawmakers and voters that the administration will keep close tabs on money it hands out. Pressure for a plan is building after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell for the third straight week, in part because of concerns about the health of the banks.

“They’re going to have to take some early action,” said Michael Bleier, a partner at law firm Reed Smith in Pittsburgh and a former Federal Reserve lawyer. “Banks and the financial services industry have to have balance sheets that are strong.”

The administration’s economic team, which will meet with Obama today, has been working on a program to bolster the banks and get them lending again. People familiar with their thinking have said the plan is likely to include fresh capital injections into the banks and steps to clear bad assets off bank balance sheets.

Satyam doesn't need govt help to pay salaries


The government on Saturday said that Satyam does not need its support to pay salaries to the company's employees, whose number has become a matter of controversy after the CID claimed that the IT major has inflated its headcount.

"They don't need (the) government's help. They will manage the issue (of payment of salary)," Corporate Affairs Minister Prem Chand Gupta said while talking to reporters.

The Andhra Pradesh government's investigating agency CID, which is investigating the Satyam fraud case, said before a local court that the company had inflated the number of employees by at least 12,000. The company had claimed that it had over 52,000 employees.

Gupta had earlier said the company had receivables of about Rs 1,700 crore.

Satyam needs about Rs 500 crore per month to meet the cost of establishment, including salaries to employees.

Following the disclosures of the accounting fraud by the disgraced founder chairman of the IT company B Ramalinga Raju, the government superseded the Satyam Board and appointed its own nominees.

The newly-constituted board has appointed two global auditing firms, KPMG and Deloitte, to re-state the accounts of the company, even as Satyam's auditors Price Waterhouse told the new board not to rely on its audit reports.

Replying to questions on the appointment of a new CEO and CFO, Gupta said, "This (appointment of CEO and CFO) is being looked into by the board. They are studying the applications they have received. The new board will take a view soon."

According to Tarun Das, a member of the newly-appointed Satyam Board, the company has received 40 applications for top management positions in the company.

RBI collects information on banks' exposure in Satyam

The Reserve Bank of India has collected data on banks' exposure in scam-tainted IT firm Satyam Computer and an investigation in the matter
is on, a top RBI official said.

"We have collected data on direct and indirect exposure of banks to Satyam. The investigation in the matter is on," RBI Deputy Governor Shyamala Gopinath told reporters here on the sidelines a conference organised by the Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research on Money and Finance.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had asked banks to furnish information to the central bank on their fund and non-fund based exposures to Satyam and associate companies.

A communique to this effect had been sent to banks recently, Gopinath said.

Replying to a question on banks not cutting their interest rates on the ground that their cost of funds are still high, Gopinath said, "It is up to (the) banks to decide how to go about it. Banks are responding by cutting PLR and deposit rates."

The Indian financial markets are facing excessive pressure due to the substitution effect, subsequent to the drying up of alternative credit avenues during the current financial turmoil.

"The slowdown in the real sector is affecting the financial sector, which, in fact, has second order impact on the real sector," Gopinath said.

During a boom time, any asset is liquid and marketable, while when the market breaks down, the asset becomes illiquid, she said.

"There is a need to have government bonds in a portfolio of liquid assets," Gopinath said.

The Indian growth process is driven by domestic factors and the country has a comfortable foreign exchange reserve, Gopinath said.

The reversal of capital flows due to the de-leveraging of global markets has put pressure on India, she said, but expressed confidence in the Indian banking sector, saying ratios of Indian banks are better than their peers.

"Indian banks' average capital adequacy ratio is 13% as on March 31 as against the regulatory requirement of 9%," Gopinath said adding that their foreign units have suffered some mark-to-market losses due to the widening credit spread, the Deputy Governor Gopinath said.

Commenting on over the counter derivatives (OTC), Gopinath said, "there is a need for a central counter-party for OTC derivatives when volumes are high. The gap between prudential needs and accounting standards needed to be bridged and regulations in leveraging, transparency and liquidity must be ensured."

Financial sector entities need to be seen and regulated as risk repositories in the system-any notion of their risks being dissipated into or outside the system is inherently flawed.

There is, therefore, a need for limits, prudential safeguards and adequate capital to support the risks.

ONGC-Mittal signs deal to take 25% stake in Kazakh oilfield


Oil and Natural Gas Corp and its billionaire partner Lakshmi N Mittal on Saturday signed an agreement to take a 25% stake in
Kazakhstan's prospective Satpayev oil field in the Caspian Sea.

ONGC Mittal Energy Ltd, the joint venture of ONGC Videsh Ltd and Mittal Investment Sarl, signed the agreement with Kazakhstan's national oil firm KazMunaiGas (KMG) for the stake, official sources said.

OVL Managing Director R S Butola signed the agreements on behalf of OMEL and for KMG its President Kairgeldi Kabyldin inked the deal.

The agreement is clumination of nearly four years of negotiations during which Kazakhstan went back and forth on giving stake to the Indian company.

Kazakhstan had initially identified the Satpayev and Makhambet blocks in the Caspian Sea for giving a 50% stake in one of them to OVL, the overseas arm of state-owned ONGC. Later it reduced the stake on offer to 25% on condition that the Indian flagship teamed up with steel baron Lakshmi N Mittal for entry.

OVL relented and in June 2007 made an attractive commercial proposal to KazMunaiGas (KMG), but in subsequent negotiations, Kazakhstan's state-run firm did not agree on the percentage of stake OVL would get. It also did not agree on giving operatorship to OVL during the exploratory and appraisal stages.

Kazakhstan today finally decided to sign the agreement. KazMunaiGas will hold the remaining 75% stake in Satpayev.

Gold v/s Silver


Gold prices spurted to an all-time high of Rs 14,110 in early trade on the bullion market on Saturday on hectic stockists buying triggered
by sharp rise in global markets.

Silver also advanced further on persistent industrial demand on the back of higher international advices.

Standard gold (99.5 purity) rallied by Rs 345 per ten grams to open at an all-time peak of Rs 14,110 from yesterday's closing level of Rs 13,765. It earlier touched a high of Rs 14,105 on October ten, 2008.

Pure gold (99.9 purity) also shot up by Rs 350 per ten grams to Rs 14,170 from Rs 13,820 yesterday.

Silver ready (.999 fineness) rose by Rs 425 per kilo to Rs 19,480 from Rs 19,055.

Gold prices rose to a three-month high, climbing past USD 900 an ounce in both New York and London for the first time since October, as global equity markets tumbled, boosting demand for a safe harbor.

Gold futures for February delivery climbed USD 37, or 4.3 per cent, to USD 895.80 an ounce on the Comex Division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, the biggest gain since December 10. Earlier, the price reached USD 903.80, the highest for a most-active contract since October 10.

Silver futures for March delivery rose 57.5 cents to USD 11.94 an ounce.

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Intel cuts processor prices by 48%

Intel, the world's largest chip maker, has cut the price of some processors by as much as 48 per cent as it confronts slumping demand and new lower-cost chips from Advanced Micro Devices Inc, Bloomberg reported.

The price of Celeron 570 processors, designed for laptops, dropped 48 per cent to $70 whereas one of the company's quad-core desktop-computer models, which have four processors on one piece of silicon, dropped 40 per cent to $316, the news agency said.

Intel kept the price of its three most expensive desktop chips unchanged, the report said on Tuesday. Intel was not immediately available for comment.

The US company had said it expects margins to bounce back to "healthy" levels by the second half of 2009, but held back on giving detailed quarterly forecasts when it issued earnings on January 15, citing economic uncertainty.

Invest C$400,000 for 5 years & be a permanent Canadian resident

Canada's immigrant investor programme, under which applicants investing Canadian $400,000 for five years with the Canadian government NRI Taxation
Remittances made easy
Liberalised norms for NRI investors
are eligible for permanent residence, is being expanded as a source of foreign investment to tackle the economic downturn.

Canada's minister of citizenship, immigration and multiculturalism Jason Kenney told ET that the programme will be made more attractive for high net worth individuals so that it can draw more capital to Canada in these recessionary times. The immigrant investor programme was created by the Canadian government, originally, to woo successful foreign business immigrants to bring new investment to Canada.

The Canadian government will soon announce changes in the immigrant investor programme so that we can leverage it better as a source of capital inflows into the country in these recessionary times.

Gold imports in India for 2008 dipped by almost 47% to 402 tonnes

"High prices have been the culprit this year as gold imports in India for 2008 dipped by almost 47% to 402 tonnes. The December 2008 gold imports stood at only 3 tonnes versus the 16 tonnes in December 2007," National Commodities Exchange of India's (NCDEX) Economist, Manasee S Gokhale, said in a report.

The economic turmoil has also hit the demand for luxury goods and hence the demand for jewellery has fallen considerably.

'Buying remained dull and prices remained high on global cues', Gokhale said.

Although the gold market fundamentals look excellent, investors have been struggling for survival and in this attempt have sold even their gold and silver positions. As a result, gold prices have dropped continuously till they hit the $680/troy ounce levels. As compared to equities or other commodities, the percentage fall in gold prices has been lesser, Gokhale said.

Commenting on the performance of gold price in 2009, Gokhale said that if the downward scenario continues and there is deflation, gold would do well as asset value drops because of fear and distrust in the system.

"What appeared to be excellent market conditions in 2008 have all vanished into thin air and staring us in the face is the growing uncertainty created by the financial crisis," Gokhale said.

Former Satyam brass asked to furnish bank, asset details

The Company Law Board on Wednesday passed a restraint order against erstwhile tainted management of Satyam ordering them to provide
details of their bank accounts and movable and immovable properties both in India and abroad before it.

“Satyam's founder Ramalinga Raju, his brother B Rama Raju, former CFO Vadlamani Srinivas, executive Ram Mynampati, and company secretary G J Jayaraman have been asked to furnish details of assets including movable and immovable assets both in India and abroad," says P C Gupta, minister of company affairs.

"This was being done to ensure that the former officials do not profit or otherwise gain from any diversion of siphoning of fund from Satyam," Gupta said.

"The orders have been issued by the board and details have to be given in a sealed cover by Feb 20," Gupta said.

China’s Economy Grows 6.8%, Slowest Pace in 7 Years

China’s economy expanded at the slowest pace in seven years as the global recession dragged down exports, increasing pressure for more government spending and lower interest rates to buoy growth.

Gross domestic product grew 6.8 percent in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, after a 9 percent gain in the previous three months, the statistics bureau said in Beijing today. It’s an astonishingly steep slowdown.

The yuan today, traded at 6.8362 against the dollar in Shanghai from 6.8378 yesterday. The CSI 300 Index of stocks rose 0.4 percent, taking its gain this year to about 11 percent.

The central bank may cut the key one-year lending rate by as much as 81 basis points to 4.5 percent by the middle of the year, after 2.16 percentage points of reductions since September, said Paul Cavey, an economist with Macquarie Securities in Hong Kong. Also. Bank reserve requirements will also decline.

Govt.'s not selling Satyam atleast for now...

Government today(22nd Jan, 08) said it has no plans to sell Satyam and that it would rather see the beleaguered company stand on its feet than put it
up for sale.

"Many corporate houses are interested in this (in buying Satyam), but the Government has not taken any view on that. Now the board is in place. Now it is for the board to take a call on it.

"But as far as the Government is concerned, there is no such thinking and no such move," corporate affairs minister PC Gupta told reporters here when asked whether L&T was in race for taking over Satyam.

"We sincerely wish that the company is brought back on its feet," he said.

On Tuesday, Satyam's new director Tarun Das said the company has been approached by potential buyers. "All I can say, we have been approached by potential buyers," he said.

Another board member Deepak Parekh said today that the company has received nearly 40 applications for the post of CEO at Satyam and that the company was also concentrating on tying up funds to keep the company alive.

"We have a large set of receivables. So we are trying to request our clients to pay us the money. We have told the sales force to go on a massive move to recover the receivables earlier. So, we have resources to meet some payment for January," he told reporters in Mumbai.

Rupee seen up on stock gains

Rupee is seen higher on Thursday,22nd jan. on gains in some Asian stock markets and the dollar's losses against some Asian currencies, but caution
ahead of a central bank policy review next week may cap the rise.

The partially convertible rupeeclosed at 49.11/13 per dollar on Wednesday, 0.2 per cent stronger than Tuesday's close of 49.20/22.

Foreign fund flows have been a key factor determining the rupee's fortunes in recent years. Foreigners have already sold about $660 million worth of local shares in 2009, after having dumped more than $13 billion last year.

One-month offshore non-deliverable forward contracts were at 49.10/20, largely in line with the local onshore closing rate.

Asia stocks clung to small gains on Thursday, with investors reassured after bank shares fuelled a Wall Street rally, but with global economic gloom still pervasive, safe-haven trades such as the yen and US Treasuries also rose.

Sebi orders promoters to disclose details of their pledged shares

For long, promoters had managed to get away by not making disclosures about the shares they had pledged with lenders. Not any more. On
Wednesday, Sebi ruled that henceforth, promoters will have to make public the details of their shares pledged with lenders.

The Sebi board’s decision to enhance the disclosure requirements is as per the primary market advisory committee’s recommendations.

The disclosures will have to be made in two ways. One is event-based — as and when the shares are pledged by the promoters, and the other one is periodic, i.e. at the at the time of quarterly results.

"For event-based disclosure of pledged shares, there will be certain limit, and those will be notified when changes are made in regulations. As far as periodic disclosure is concerned, there will be no limit," Sebi chairman CB Bhave said while addressing the media after the Sebi board meet.

"Details of pledge of shares and sale of pledged shares shall be made to the company and the company shall in turn inform the same to the public through stock exchanges," Mr Bhave said, adding that the pledged shares sold by lenders would also have to be disclosed to bourses.

The practice of promoters pledging shares picked up momentum when the stock market was in an upswing.

In some cases, the money raised through this arrangement was for official purposes — meeting working capital requirements, for one. But often, promoters would use this leveraging game to further raise their stakes in the companies they owned.

Promoters of most real estate companies and many mid-cap companies have been raising funds through this route. The game worked well in a rising market but took a disastrous turn when the tide reversed. Most promoters were unable to meet their margin calls, which were triggered by falling stock prices.

As a result, lenders dumped shares, thus exacerbating the stock price decline, leading to further margin calls.

The Sebi board also reviewed the progress made so far in investigations in the matter of Satyam Computer Services. Mr Bhave clarified that the regulator had questioned some key officials of Satyam, with the exception of its chairman.

Sebi is also investigating Satyam’s bank deposits and probing for signs of unusual trading activity in Satyam shares.
The regulator has not formally ordered probe on Maytas Infra so far.

On the issue of remuneration of independent directors, Mr Bhave said it was not for the regulator to decide how much the directors should be paid. He also said Sebi had written to the government on the appointment of independent directors in PSU companies, where the posts were yet to be filled.

Strong US = Better India

Indians world wide are hoping that US president Barack Obama will help to quickly revive the world economy, and thus also the Indian economy. But will that happen?

Obama’s first priority is the US economy, and a strong US economy will be good for India. Obama’s clear stance on terror will also benefit India. With a terror free environment, businesses will thrive.

The healthcare industry is anticipating positive reforms. The focus will be on generics and on catalysing biosimilars. Research on stem cells, nano, biofuel and renewable sources will get impetus. The biotech sector is full of optimism. More generally, however, given that his focus is likely to be on creating jobs in the US, Indian companies would need to focus on value added services and not just be a cost effective destination. Large subsidies in the US can act against India’s cost benefit.

Obama’s fresh thinking on the economy will spur growth. He might also see that the global agreement on services is concluded quickly which will help solve many of the services industry’s issues. The nuclear issue will start moving and this might solve India’s energy problems. He is the right person to ensure more investments in emerging countries.

Interogation of Jokers

Were Ramalinga Raju’s interrogators cracking the Rs 7,800-crore fraud case or cracking jokes? At the CID office at AC Guards where the
disgraced chairman of Satyam was being ‘interrogated’, peals of laughter were heard on Wednesday.

This seems strange because one would imagine that the investigators would be racing against time and would be trying their best to extract the most on the fourth and final day of Raju’s custody instead of guffawing.

There have been rumours that the atmosphere was just too casual and their laughter from the floor in the building where Raju is with the CID investigators could be heard. In fact, in the last three days, there were several lighter moments during the so called 'interrogation'.

Friday, January 16, 2009

Satyam Banks on Arrested Chairman’s Deputies to Retain Clients

Satyam Computer Services Ltd., India’s fourth-largest software exporter, is relying on top lieutenants of its arrested founder to retain clients as the government-appointed board struggles to find replacements.

Ram Mynampati, sacked from the board after a three-day stint as interim chief executive officer, and executive Virender Aggarwal are meeting customers in the U.S. and Singapore to assure them Satyam can continue to provide technology services, according to a statement sent to the Bombay Stock Exchange.

Satyam needs clients including FIFA to keep paying after the government ruled out a bailout and the company said it may take three months to sort out its accounts. Satyam’s new directors meet tomorrow to find replacements for managing director Rama Raju and chief financial officer Srinivas Vadlamani, a week after their arrest in India’s biggest fraud inquiry.

“The new board is doing everything to try and stabilize the situation, find a new chief executive officer, reassure clients, but all this takes time,” said Krupal Maniar, a Mumbai-based analyst at ICICI Securities Ltd. “Unfortunately, time is what’s against them.”

Vivek Paul, the former vice chairman of Wipro Ltd., India’s third-largest computer services provider, declined to comment on an Economic Times report that he’d join Satyam. Paul quit private equity firm TPG last month, where he had been a partner since leaving Wipro in October 2005.

Citigroup Reports $8.3 Billion Loss, Splits Into Two

Citigroup Inc. posted an $8.29 billion loss, twice as much as analysts estimated, and said it will split in two under Chief Executive Officer Vikram Pandit’s plan to rebuild a capital base eroded by the credit crisis.

Citigroup rose 2.3 percent in New York trading after tumbling 43 percent this year through yesterday. Pandit will undo the legacy of former CEO Sanford “Sandy” Weill by creating Citicorp to house the New York-based company’s global bank, and Citi Holdings, for “non-core” assets, including $301 billion of mortgages, bonds, corporate loans and other assets that the government agreed in November to guarantee.

“The financial supermarket was buried today,” said Bill Smith, founder of Citigroup shareholder Smith Asset Management Inc. in New York, who has repeatedly called for a breakup.

A dwindling capital cushion and sinking stock price forced the 52-year-old Pandit to abandon Citigroup’s decade-old strategy of providing investment advice and insurance alongside branch banking, stock underwriting and corporate lending. He’s shedding units to free up capital and save the bank from insolvency.

“They are going to try to home in on what’s worth something, and try and sell the pieces that they really can’t value,” Todd Colvin, vice president of MF Global Inc., said in a Bloomberg TV interview.

Shares of Citigroup rose 6 cents to $3.89.

Pandit said on a conference call with analysts that the bank plans to cut head count to about 300,000, from 323,000 at the end of December and 352,000 in September.

Citigroup’s lead independent director, Richard Parsons, said today in a statement that the bank also plans to shake up its board of directors. He didn’t provide details. Robert Rubin, the former Treasury secretary who was a consultant to Citigroup’s board, resigned earlier this month after being criticized by investors for failing to help steer the bank clear of the subprime mortgage market’s collapse.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Please visit

http://watchingmarkets.blogspot.com/

and

http://tech-on-hand.blogspot.com/

for improving your kinowledge by many folds.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Satyam’s Audit Unreliable, Say Price Waterhouse...

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP’s Indian unit said the audit reports of Satyam Computer Services Ltd. can no longer be relied on, after the software exporter’s founder admitted $1 billion of false accounting.

Chairman Ramalinga Raju’s Jan. 7 admission that Satyam’s finances had been inaccurate for “several years” rendered the audits invalid, Price Waterhouse said in a letter to directors sent to the Bombay Stock Exchange today. The auditor relied on financial statements from Satyam to prepare the report, it said.

Satyam’s government-appointed board named KPMG and Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu today to restate India’s fourth-largest software exporter’s accounts. The auditors need to quickly assess the state of Satyam’s finances to clear the way for a bailout to save the Hyderabad-based company’s 53,000 jobs.

“For any financial institution to extend loans to Satyam to solve its liquidity problems, the bank has to at least know what it’s getting into,” said Apurva Shah, head of research at Mumbai-based brokerage Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. “Any solution has to start with knowing the extent of the problem, at Satyam practically everything is doubtful.”

Ex-Chairman Raju said on Jan. 7 that he’d fabricated $1 billion of cash and assets, sparking an 83 percent plunge in Satyam’s stock that wiped out $2.2 billion of investor wealth. The government said on Jan. 12 it may provide funds to bail out Satyam, after new director Deepak Parekh said its working capital requires “immediate attention.” Satyam would have to restate earnings for several years, he said.

Satyam declined 4.8 percent to 29.55 rupees at 1:50 p.m. in Mumbai today.

Indian Stocks on a Rise to Lead

India stocks rose for the first day in five on speculation recent losses were excessive and corporate earnings will withstand the global recession.

Reliance Industries Ltd., the nation’s largest non-state company, rallied 9.5 percent, rebounding from a four-day, 21 percent retreat.

Infosys Technologies Ltd., India’s second-largest computer-services company, rose 6.1 percent, extending yesterday’s gains after it reported better-than-estimated earnings.

Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. jumped 2.5 percent before the release of its earnings tomorrow.

“The market is taking heed and reacting to the good news after a spate of really bad news,” said Shashank Khade, who helps manage $400 million at Kotak Securities Ltd. in Mumbai. “Investors are also feeling happy that Infosys has done well.”

The Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensitive Index, or Sensex, added 299.13, or 3.3 percent, to end at 9,370.49, halting a four-day, 12 percent drop. The Sensex’s retreat, following the disclosure of an accounting fraud at Satyam Computer Services Ltd., was its steepest four-day loss since the period ended Oct. 27, according to data tracked by Bloomberg.

The S&P CNX Nifty Index on the National Stock Exchange gained 3.3 percent to 2,835.30, its largest gain since Dec. 18.

Reliance earlier jumped as much 13 percent to 1,218 rupees. Losses over the previous four days sent its 14-day relative strength index, showing how rapidly prices advanced or dropped during the specified time period, to 36 yesterday, near the 30- level that some analysts regard as a signal that the security is poised to rebound.


ICICI Bank Ltd., the nation’s second-biggest bank, rose 3.7 percent to 441.1 rupees, rebounding from a four-day, 19 percent slump.

Bharti Airtel Ltd., India’s largest mobile-phone operator, climbed 2.6 percent to 622.75 rupees. Today’s gain is the first since Jan. 1.

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd. rose 16.4 percent to 257.8 rupees, the most since Jan. 7. The drugmaker rebounded from a four-day, 28 percent decline.

Satyam Officials Sold Most Stock in India Before Fall

Satyam Computer Services Ltd. executives reaped $1.8 million from share sales in the six months before a botched takeover and fraud inquiry at India’s fourth- largest software exporter triggered a record fall in its stock.

Nine officials led by Chief Financial Officer V. Srinivas sold a combined 267,358 shares since July 14, according to filings by the company to the Bombay Stock Exchange. That’s more stock than the combined insider sales at 30 companies on India’s benchmark index.

Chairman Ramalinga Raju said on Jan. 7 that he’d fabricated $1 billion of cash and assets, sparking an 83 percent plunge in Satyam’s stock that wiped out $2.2 billion of investor wealth. The insider sales coincided with a record slump in Indian equities as the global credit crunch forced Satyam’s clients including Citigroup Inc. to cut spending on computer services.

The impunity with which promoters sold shares is really shocking,” said R.K. Gupta, who manages the equivalent of about $100 million of stocks at Taurus Mutual Fund in New Delhi. “It also raises questions about how effective our regulatory system is that it could not detect the wrongdoing from the share sales.” Taurus Starshare fund held 56,223 shares of Satyam at the end of December.

Srinivas was arrested on Jan. 11, a day after chairman Raju was taken into custody and the government sacked the Hyderabad- based company’s board. Five other executives who sold shares were named in the Jan. 7 letter by chairman Raju as being “unaware” of the alleged fraud. S. Bharat Kumar, Srinivas’s lawyer, said he couldn’t contact his client as he is in judicial custody.

U.S. Stocks Drop as Retail Sales Slump



U.S. stocks slid the most in six weeks, following European markets lower, as a government report showed retail sales slumped at more than twice the rate forecast by economists last month.

General Motors Corp., Macy’s Inc. and American Express Co. tumbled at least 5 percent after the Commerce Department said purchases decreased 2.7 percent in December as job losses and dwindling access to credit forced consumers to reduce spending. Citigroup Inc. slid as much as 21 percent as Chief Executive Officer Vikram Pandit works to unravel the financial-services empire following four straight quarters of losses.

“The economy is going to feel really bad and we’ll continue to get negative headline news,” said Eric Green, director of research at Penn Capital Management, which oversees $3 billion in Cherry Hill, New Jersey. “There’s massive stimulus that we’ve never seen before coming. That will help the consumer.”

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 3 percent to 845.46 at 1:02 p.m. in New York and dropped as much as 4 percent, its steepest plunge since Dec. 4. The Dow average slumped 229.14 points, or 2.7 percent, to 8,219.42. The Russell 2000 Index fell 3.4 percent. The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index of European shares tumbled 4.4 percent for its sixth straight retreat.

All 24 industry groups and 487 of the companies in the S&P 500 fell following the sixth consecutive monthly decrease in retail sales, the longest stretch of declines in records going back to 1992. The VIX, which gauges the cost of using options as insurance against losses in the S&P 500, jumped 17 percent for its biggest gain since Dec. 1.

Monday, January 12, 2009

India truckers' strike ends on eighth day

Indian truckers on Monday called off an eight-day strike that had nudged up prices of commodities and disrupted supplies of industrial goods, after talks with the government on measures including cuts in tolls and taxes.

"The All India Motor Transport Congress withdraws the strike unconditionally. Transport services shall be restored forthwith," the industry body, representing about six million trucks, said in a joint statement with the transport ministry.

The transport ministry clarified there would be no increase in toll taxes on national highways for a period of one year, as agreed last July, and that a committee would look into issues relating to national permits and rationalisation of taxes.

"On reduction in diesel prices ... an appropriate decision will be taken after considering all aspects," the statement said.

The junior oil minister on Monday said India planned to cut fuel prices in 10 days. Fuel prices were last cut on Dec. 6.

Some key truckers' union officers were arrested at the weekend, and deliveries of fruits, vegetables, essential goods and commodities had resumed on Monday in several states including Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and Rajasthan.

More than 70 percent of freight in India moves by road, and truckers had benefited from a booming economy which encouraged demand for transport of cement, steel and finished goods.

But the Indian economy, Asia's third-largest, has showed signs of slowing amid the global financial crisis after growing at about 9 percent or more in the past three years.

According to me this is The Most stable economy today even after the recession hit.

IT helpless in this Total Slowdown

The economic slowdown has brought about an array of worries for Indian IT players. As the budgeting season arrives, companies assume wait and watch situation to see what their international clients will decide. Moreover, only players with strong cash flows will be able to sustain the onslaught of the slowdown. Others will have to cut costs drastically or borrow.

Industry analysts feel this year, due to the economic downturn, the budgeting for IT spend might get delayed by a couple of months. There will definitely be price revisions. Already CLSA has mentions that it expects a 4% downward revision in Infosys’s billing rates.

As far as spending for new developments and new projects are concerned, the companies might come out with short-term budgeting and review and revise it over time depending on the situation.

As much as 70% of budgeting done by the companies is on the non-discretionary front, and the rest 30% is done for new projects and developments. “The budgeting for non-discretionary stuff is likely not to get affected. However, the IT sector will definitely get affected as far as the new project developments are concerned,” commented Ganesh Natarajan, chairman, Nasscom & global CEO, Zensar Technologies.

India to postpone 3G and 4G auction schedule again

India will revise the timetable for the global auction of third- and fourth-generation (3G and 4G) wireless spectrum for a second time, the telecoms ministry said late on Monday.

"The revised time line for auction of 3G and BWA (broadband wireless access) spectrum will be notified shortly," the Department of Telecom said on its website (http://dot.gov.in), without elaborating.

The auction was originally scheduled to start from Jan. 16. Last month the telecoms ministry announced a delay until Jan. 30, citing requests from potential bidders for more time.

India's cabinet is yet to take a final decision on a finance ministry proposal to double the base price for the auction and a further delay is possible.

India plans to conduct the auction for 3G spectrum in 20 of its 22 service areas and has said firms could bid for four slots in most of these areas.

Sensex turns positive hand in hand with Infosys

Shares in Infosys Technologies rose 1.6 per cent early on Tuesday after a shaky start and drove the main index up.

Infosys, No. 2 software services exporter, beat expectations with a one-third rise in quarterly profit, helped by a weaker rupee, even as a global downturn squeezed outsourcing.

The main 30-share BSE index opened down 0.74 per cent, but quickly turned positive and was up 0.21 per cent at 9,128.96 points by 0428 GMT, with 11 components gaining.

Satyam shares were trading up 4.5 per cent at 35.95 rupees.

The 50-share NSE Index was down 0.08 per cent at 2,771 points.

Govt. Aid Satyam

In order to restore the confidence of overseas investors and clients in the Indian IT sector, as well as reassure the company’s over 50,000 hapless employees, the government on Monday said it is open to providing all kinds of help-including indirect liquidity support-to Satyam Computer Services.

The Prime Minister's Office, which is overseeing developments at Satyam, on Monday directed cabinet secretary KM Chandrasekhar to coordinate the actions of various government agencies and regulators investigating into the company, a senior official told FE. Sebi chairman CB Bhave met Prime Minister Manmohan Singh on Monday and apprised him of developments at Satyam, the official said.

Commerce & industry minister Kamal Nath reiterated the government’s pledge to consider all options, including any proposal to arrange adequate finances, to help Satyam carry out its operations smoothly. Department of economic affairs secretary Ashok Chawla stressed that the government would ensure access to funds so that Satyam is able to carry out its normal, legitimate activities.

IBM interested in Satyam

International Business Machines Corp. and Accenture Ltd. are in a stronger position to win new contracts after the fraud at Satyam Computer Services Ltd. tarnished the credibility of India’s outsourcing industry.

Companies seeking to outsource some of their operations -- such as handling customer calls or testing software -- may turn to U.S. firms in the short term as they grow wary of the risks of working with smaller companies abroad, said Moshe Katri, an analyst at Cowen and Co. IBM and Accenture are the two largest U.S. computer-services providers.

“It’s going to create a temporary or near-term crisis of confidence in the sector,” said Katri, who is based in New York. “This is really the first time this has happened in our industry.”

Satyam Chairman Ramalinga Raju’s admission that he fabricated $1 billion in cash and assets will force India to strengthen corporate-governance regulations or risk undermining an industry that took a decade to develop, Katri said. Satyam, based in Hyderabad, writes software and manages computer systems for clients such as ArcelorMittal, the world’s largest steelmaker, and Nissan Motor Co., Japan’s third-biggest carmaker.

“This to some extent pollutes the entire industry, just gives other U.S. and Europe-based companies another reason to be hesitant before sending business to an emerging market,” said Karl Keirstead, an analyst at Kaufman Bros. in New York. “It’s the last thing the Indian outsourcing industry needs.”

Satyam will take time to get on track: Board

Satyam Computer Services needs to restate its accounts and appoint senior people as soon as possible to get back on track, but this will take time, the new board of the fraud-hit Indian company said.

Shares in Satyam jumped as much as two-thirds on Monday on expectations the new board, the first three members of which were appointed by the government on Sunday, would rescue the company in the wake of India's biggest corporate scandal.

"It depends on how soon we get a CEO, it depends on how soon we get a good financial manager and it depends on how soon we get the accounts restated," Deepak Parekh, a senior banker, told reporters after the first meeting of the new board.

"Account restatement is ... one of the biggest issues we have because no one has faith in the numbers that are being produced so far," he said.

Satyam founder Ramalinga Raju resigned as chairman last week, saying profits had been falsified for years and about $1 billion or 94 per cent of the company's cash and bank balances at the end of September did not exist.

"If you have to go through four, five years of accounts ... it is going to take time by the auditors," Parekh said, adding he hoped to appoint a new accounting firm within 48 hours.

The new board met at Satyam headquarters in the southern city of Hyderabad to lay out a roadmap for the survival of the company after the fraud hit Satyam's business prospects and triggered worries some clients may cancel contracts

"The option of a merger is always open," Parekh said in response to a question.

Parekh said the company may have to ask for an extension of the month-end deadline to report its December quarter results and said if the receiveables as reported were correct, then the company should have adequate liquidity.

"But we have to confirm these receivables are the right numbers and are not overstated. And we have to confirm that the debt mentioned in the account is the actual debt and there is no more debt," he said.

China’s Exports Hit Badly since 1999



China’s exports fell the most in almost a decade in December as the deepening global recession cut demand for the nation’s toys, clothes and electronics.

Shipments dropped 2.8 percent, the customs bureau said on its Web site today. That compares with a 21.7 percent gain a year earlier. Exports grew 17.2 percent for all of 2008, down from 25.7 percent in 2007.

Waning export demand has led to protests by fired factory employees, an exodus of 600,000 migrant workers from the manufacturing hub of Guangdong, and an estimated urban unemployment rate of more than 9 percent. Premier Wen Jiabao pledged Jan. 11 to add to the nation’s 4 trillion yuan ($585 billion) stimulus package to create jobs and avoid social instability.

“There is little hope that exports will recover this year, as developed economies remain mired in recessions,” said Sun Mingchun, a Hong Kong-based economist at Nomura Holdings. “Textile, steel and electronic exports are the most badly hurt.”

Profits have tumbled for manufacturers with operations in China, such as Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., the world’s biggest contract maker of electronics. Hisense Group, a state- owned air conditioner and refrigerator maker, has reported plunging orders.

The export decline was less than the 5.3 percent median estimate in a survey of 16 economists.

Biz leaders to meet PM on Satyam Issue



Concerned that India Inc's image will be dented by the Rs 7,800-crore Satyam financial fraud, senior industry leaders will meet Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and are likely to discuss ways to take urgent corrective measures.

Former CII President R Sashsayee, Jamshed Godrej of the Godrej Group and Suresh Neotia, Chairman of the Gujarat Ambuja, will be among the small group of industrialists meeting the Prime Minister.

Besides the Satyam saga, the World Bank has initiated action against five Indian entities, including Wipro Technologies for violating the guidelines of the multilateral lending agency on checking fraud and corruption.

On the Satyam issue, the industry has overwhelmingly welcomed the intervention of the Government as it has disbanded the earlier board of the troubled IT firm and constituted a new one.